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Has the climate in Brandon changed?

Brandon has warmed about 1.9°F between 1971 and 2012.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Brandon's official daily weather records, 1971–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Brandon's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+1.2°F
1970s
35.5°F
Recent
36.7°F
A steady upward drift

Brandon's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2012.

29°31°33°35°37°39°41°43°1971: 35.2°F1972: 33.0°F1973: 37.3°F1974: 33.8°F1975: 35.0°F1976: 35.0°F1977: 37.1°F1978: 33.8°F1979: 33.2°F1980: 35.9°F1981: 39.7°F1982: 34.2°F1983: 36.5°F1984: 37.1°F1985: 33.4°F1986: 36.4°F1987: 40.2°F1988: 37.5°F1989: 34.6°F1990: 36.0°F1991: 35.8°F1992: 35.9°F1993: 35.1°F1994: 35.5°F1995: 34.1°F1996: 30.9°F1997: 36.3°F1998: 38.4°F1999: 38.4°F2000: 35.7°F2001: 37.7°F2002: 35.2°F2003: 36.0°F2004: 34.8°F2005: 36.8°F2006: 38.9°F2007: 36.2°F2008: 34.3°F2009: 34.6°F2010: 37.7°F2011: 36.7°F2012: 41.0°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-2.0°-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°January: +1.8°F+1.8JFebruary: +0.2°F+0.2FMarch: -0.1°F-0.1MApril: +0.6°F+0.6AMay: -2.0°F-2.0MJune: -0.4°F-0.4JJuly: -0.1°F-0.1JAugust: +0.4°F+0.4ASeptember: +1.4°F+1.4SOctober: -0.5°F-0.5ONovember: +1.2°F+1.2NDecember: +2.4°F+2.4D

December has warmed the most — about 2.4°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 22 years of daily observations at Brandon A, a weather station, about 7 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →