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Has the climate in Guelph changed?

Guelph has warmed about 1.1°F between 1992 and 2020.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Guelph's official daily weather records, 1992–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Guelph's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+0.7°F
1970s
44.0°F
Recent
44.7°F
A steady upward drift

Guelph's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1992 to 2020.

39°41°43°45°47°49°51°53°1992: 40.4°F1993: 47.0°F1994: 42.6°F1995: 43.5°F1996: 42.9°F1997: 42.7°F1998: 47.4°F1999: 45.4°F2000: 43.8°F2001: 45.6°F2002: 45.0°F2003: 42.6°F2004: 43.2°F2005: 47.6°F2006: 52.2°F2007: 44.4°F2008: 43.2°F2009: 42.7°F2010: 45.9°F2011: 44.7°F2012: 47.1°F2013: 43.5°F2014: 41.9°F2015: 43.6°F2016: 46.2°F2017: 45.2°F2018: 44.7°F2019: 44.3°F2020: 45.4°Flong-term trend1992200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 28 years of daily observations at Fergus Moe, a weather station, about 20 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →