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Has the climate in Jõgeva changed?

Jõgeva has warmed about 4.7°F since 1971.

About 0.9°F per decade, measured from Jõgeva's official daily weather records, 1971–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Jõgeva's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Estonia — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
26 fewer nights
1970s
158 / yr
Recent
132 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+3.4°F
1970s
41.0°F
Recent
44.4°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
1 more day
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
1 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
3 more days
1970s
180 / yr
Recent
183 / yr
Wetter on average

Jõgeva's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2025.

36°38°40°42°44°46°48°1971: 41.9°F1972: 42.6°F1973: 41.3°F1974: 42.9°F1975: 44.0°F1976: 38.4°F1977: 40.4°F1978: 38.6°F1979: 40.8°F1980: 39.5°F1981: 41.3°F1982: 41.9°F1983: 43.3°F1984: 42.1°F1985: 38.6°F1986: 41.0°F1987: 37.8°F1988: 42.3°F1989: 44.9°F1990: 43.9°F1991: 43.3°F1992: 43.6°F1993: 40.9°F1994: 41.5°F1995: 43.2°F1996: 40.0°F1997: 42.6°F1998: 41.5°F1999: 44.8°F2000: 45.9°F2001: 43.8°F2002: 43.4°F2003: 43.2°F2004: 43.4°F2005: 43.5°F2006: 44.6°F2007: 44.8°F2008: 45.2°F2009: 43.0°F2010: 41.2°F2011: 44.8°F2012: 41.8°F2013: 44.2°F2014: 44.4°F2015: 45.4°F2016: 43.8°F2017: 43.4°F2018: 45.0°F2019: 45.3°F2020: 46.7°F2021: 43.6°F2022: 44.4°F2023: 44.7°F2024: 46.5°F2025: 45.8°Flong-term trend1971198019902000201020202025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 11 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°January: +1.7°F+1.7JFebruary: +1.7°F+1.7FMarch: +1.3°F+1.3MApril: +1.7°F+1.7AMay: +0.6°F+0.6MJune: +0.5°F+0.5JJuly: +2.0°F+2.0JAugust: +1.7°F+1.7ASeptember: +2.3°F+2.3SOctober: +0.7°F+0.7ONovember: +1.8°F+1.8NDecember: +2.3°F+2.3D

September has warmed the most — about 2.3°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 30 years of daily observations at Tartu-toravere, a weather station, about 54 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →