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Has the climate in Mobara changed?

Mobara has warmed about 3.2°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.7°F per decade, measured from Mobara's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Mobara's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Japan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
28 fewer nights
1970s
35 / yr
Recent
7 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.5°F
1970s
59.3°F
Recent
61.8°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
20 more days
1970s
8 / yr
Recent
28 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
10 more days
1970s
108 / yr
Recent
118 / yr
Wetter on average

Mobara's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

56°58°60°62°64°1971: 59.0°F1972: 60.3°F1973: 59.8°F1974: 58.8°F1975: 59.4°F1976: 58.5°F1977: 59.7°F1978: 60.1°F1979: 61.3°F1980: 58.9°F1981: 58.2°F1982: 59.5°F1983: 58.9°F1984: 57.4°F1985: 59.7°F1986: 58.7°F1987: 60.5°F1988: 59.2°F1989: 61.0°F1992: 60.1°F1993: 59.3°F1994: 61.6°F1995: 60.6°F1996: 59.6°F1997: 61.5°F1998: 61.3°F1999: 62.1°F2000: 61.2°F2001: 58.2°F2002: 61.1°F2003: 60.0°F2004: 61.9°F2006: 60.9°F2007: 62.0°F2008: 61.0°F2009: 61.5°F2010: 62.1°F2011: 61.5°F2012: 60.6°F2013: 61.9°F2014: 61.4°F2015: 62.2°F2016: 62.3°F2017: 61.3°F2018: 63.0°F2019: 62.4°F2020: 63.0°Flong-term trend19711980200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 16 fewer freezing nights a year and about 13 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from the Japan Meteorological Agency, measured at Ushiku, about 14 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →