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Has the climate in Saiki changed?

Saiki has warmed about 3.1°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Saiki's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Saiki's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Japan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
23 fewer nights
1970s
35 / yr
Recent
12 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.1°F
1970s
60.4°F
Recent
62.5°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
7 more days
1970s
26 / yr
Recent
33 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
112 / yr
Recent
113 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Saiki's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

58°60°62°64°1971: 60.1°F1972: 60.0°F1973: 61.2°F1974: 60.0°F1975: 61.2°F1976: 59.6°F1977: 60.8°F1978: 61.5°F1979: 61.2°F1980: 59.5°F1981: 59.5°F1982: 60.2°F1983: 60.9°F1984: 59.9°F1985: 61.0°F1986: 59.8°F1987: 61.1°F1988: 60.1°F1989: 61.4°F1990: 62.6°F1991: 61.3°F1992: 61.2°F1993: 60.1°F1994: 62.4°F1995: 60.7°F1996: 60.6°F1997: 61.7°F1998: 63.3°F1999: 62.1°F2000: 62.3°F2001: 62.3°F2002: 62.7°F2003: 62.0°F2004: 63.3°F2005: 62.2°F2006: 62.4°F2007: 63.4°F2008: 62.2°F2009: 62.6°F2010: 62.7°F2011: 61.9°F2012: 61.3°F2013: 62.5°F2014: 61.5°F2015: 62.3°F2016: 63.8°F2017: 62.4°F2018: 62.8°F2019: 63.4°F2020: 63.3°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 13 fewer freezing nights a year and about 5 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from the Japan Meteorological Agency, measured at Saiki, inside the city.

How we build these numbers →