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Has the climate in Bago changed?

Bago has warmed about 0.7°F between 1991 and 2020.

About 0.2°F per decade, measured from Bago's official daily weather records, 1991–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Bago's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Myanmar.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+0.5°F
1970s
81.5°F
Recent
81.9°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
17 fewer days
1970s
171 / yr
Recent
154 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
17 more days
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
17 / yr
Wetter on average

Bago's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1991 to 2020.

79°81°83°85°1991: 81.7°F1993: 81.2°F1994: 80.9°F1995: 81.2°F1996: 81.3°F1997: 81.7°F1998: 83.1°F2000: 80.8°F2001: 81.2°F2002: 81.9°F2003: 81.7°F2004: 81.7°F2005: 82.3°F2006: 81.8°F2007: 81.3°F2008: 81.2°F2009: 82.0°F2010: 83.1°F2011: 81.3°F2012: 82.1°F2013: 81.5°F2014: 81.2°F2015: 81.8°F2016: 82.5°F2017: 82.4°F2018: 81.9°F2019: 82.2°F2020: 81.9°Flong-term trend1991200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 11 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-4.0°-3.5°-3.0°-2.5°-2.0°-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: -0.3°F-0.3JFebruary: +0.1°F+0.1FMarch: -0.3°F-0.3MApril: +0.7°F+0.7AJune: -0.1°F-0.1JJuly: -0.1°F-0.1JAugust: -0.1°F-0.1ASeptember: -0.8°F-0.8SOctober: +0.1°F+0.1ODecember: -4.0°F-4.0D

December has cooled the most — about 4.0°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →