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Has the climate in Oaxaca changed?

How Oaxaca's climate has changed

About 0.2°F per decade, measured from Oaxaca's official daily weather records, 1973–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Oaxaca's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+0.4°F
1970s
69.8°F
Recent
70.2°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
39 more days
1970s
36 / yr
Recent
75 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
11 more days
1970s
59 / yr
Recent
70 / yr
Wetter on average

Oaxaca's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1973 to 2020.

66°68°70°72°74°1973: 72.7°F1974: 70.5°F1990: 68.0°F2006: 69.0°F2007: 69.4°F2008: 69.3°F2009: 70.9°F2010: 69.7°F2011: 69.4°F2012: 69.8°F2013: 70.5°F2014: 69.8°F2015: 69.7°F2016: 70.3°F2017: 69.2°F2018: 69.5°F2019: 71.1°F2020: 71.6°Flong-term trend1973199020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 28 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°March: +2.3°F+2.3MApril: +2.6°F+2.6AJuly: +1.8°F+1.8J

April has warmed the most — about 2.6°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Oaxaca, about 3 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →