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Has the climate in San Juan de los Lagos changed?

San Juan de los Lagos has warmed about 3°F between 1984 and 2020.

About 0.8°F per decade, measured from San Juan de los Lagos's official daily weather records, 1984–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? San Juan de los Lagos's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
7 fewer nights
1970s
8 / yr
Recent
1 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.4°F
1970s
64.7°F
Recent
66.1°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
7 more days
1970s
16 / yr
Recent
23 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
16 fewer days
1970s
65 / yr
Recent
49 / yr
Drier on average

San Juan de los Lagos's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1984 to 2020.

38°40°42°44°46°48°50°52°54°56°58°60°62°64°66°68°70°1984: 39.5°F1985: 66.2°F1986: 66.2°F1987: 67.0°F1988: 66.5°F1989: 67.0°F1990: 66.5°F1991: 65.8°F1992: 65.6°F1993: 68.0°F1994: 68.9°F1995: 69.4°F1996: 68.0°F1997: 67.3°F1998: 69.6°F1999: 68.4°F2000: 69.6°F2001: 69.4°F2002: 68.3°F2003: 69.2°F2004: 65.6°F2005: 67.0°F2006: 66.0°F2007: 66.4°F2008: 64.9°F2009: 67.2°F2010: 65.4°F2011: 67.7°F2012: 66.5°F2013: 65.9°F2014: 64.8°F2015: 64.4°F2016: 65.2°F2017: 66.4°F2018: 65.7°F2019: 67.0°F2020: 67.4°Flong-term trend19841990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 3 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-3.0°-2.5°-2.0°-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°May: +1.6°F+1.6MAugust: +0.2°F+0.2ASeptember: -2.8°F-2.8S

September has cooled the most — about 2.8°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at San Gaspar De Los Reyes, about 18 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →