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Has the climate in San Miguel de Allende changed?

San Miguel de Allende has warmed about 2.5°F between 1971 and 2012.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from San Miguel de Allende's official daily weather records, 1971–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? San Miguel de Allende's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Mexico — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
5 more nights
1970s
7 / yr
Recent
12 / yr
Colder winters — more frosts
Average temperature
+1.4°F
1970s
62.7°F
Recent
64.1°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
15 more days
1970s
4 / yr
Recent
19 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
9 fewer days
1970s
72 / yr
Recent
63 / yr
Drier on average

San Miguel de Allende's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2012.

60°62°64°66°68°1971: 64.2°F1972: 64.5°F1973: 62.8°F1974: 61.8°F1975: 61.5°F1976: 61.0°F1977: 61.9°F1978: 62.2°F1979: 62.6°F1980: 62.9°F1981: 62.8°F1982: 63.9°F1983: 63.0°F1984: 63.0°F1985: 63.1°F1986: 63.1°F1987: 63.2°F1988: 63.9°F1989: 63.5°F1990: 64.0°F1991: 64.3°F1992: 62.7°F1993: 63.8°F1994: 64.5°F1995: 64.3°F1996: 64.3°F1997: 64.2°F1998: 65.2°F1999: 62.8°F2000: 63.2°F2001: 62.8°F2002: 62.8°F2003: 63.1°F2004: 62.4°F2005: 63.7°F2006: 63.0°F2007: 65.4°F2008: 65.5°F2009: 66.5°F2010: 64.8°F2011: 65.9°F2012: 65.5°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 9 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: +0.7°F+0.7JFebruary: +1.7°F+1.7FMarch: +0.9°F+0.9MApril: +1.2°F+1.2AMay: +0.7°F+0.7MJune: +1.2°F+1.2JJuly: +0.8°F+0.8JAugust: +0.9°F+0.9ASeptember: +0.7°F+0.7SOctober: +0.8°F+0.8ONovember: +0.5°F+0.5NDecember: +0.5°F+0.5D

February has warmed the most — about 1.7°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Cinco Señores, about 16 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →