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Has the climate in Valle de Santiago changed?

Valle de Santiago has cooled about 1.3°F between 1971 and 2012.

About 0.3°F per decade, measured from Valle de Santiago's official daily weather records, 1971–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Valle de Santiago's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
2 more nights
1970s
4 / yr
Recent
6 / yr
Colder winters — more frosts
Average temperature
−1.3°F
1970s
66.4°F
Recent
65.1°F
A small downward drift
Hot days above 90°F
8 fewer days
1970s
33 / yr
Recent
25 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
68 / yr
Recent
69 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Valle de Santiago's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2012.

59°61°63°65°67°69°71°1971: 65.0°F1972: 67.2°F1973: 66.8°F1974: 66.3°F1975: 65.9°F1976: 65.6°F1977: 66.3°F1978: 65.8°F1979: 65.2°F1980: 67.5°F1981: 66.4°F1982: 67.6°F1983: 67.3°F1984: 66.2°F1985: 66.2°F1986: 68.3°F1987: 66.0°F1990: 60.6°F1991: 66.5°F1992: 64.8°F1993: 68.1°F1994: 69.8°F1995: 67.9°F1996: 66.6°F1997: 66.9°F1998: 67.3°F1999: 64.3°F2000: 63.8°F2001: 64.4°F2002: 65.6°F2003: 66.0°F2004: 64.1°F2005: 65.5°F2006: 64.4°F2007: 64.7°F2008: 64.4°F2009: 66.3°F2010: 64.6°F2011: 66.3°F2012: 65.7°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 5 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: -0.6°F-0.6JFebruary: -0.1°F-0.1FMarch: -0.8°F-0.8MApril: -1.2°F-1.2AMay: -1.1°F-1.1MJune: -0.3°F-0.3JJuly: -0.3°F-0.3JAugust: -0.4°F-0.4ASeptember: -0.9°F-0.9SOctober: -0.6°F-0.6ONovember: -1.0°F-1.0NDecember: -0.8°F-0.8D

April has cooled the most — about 1.2°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Valle De Santiago, about 2 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →