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Has the climate in Managua changed?

Managua has cooled about 2.8°F between 1978 and 2024.

About 0.7°F per decade, measured from Managua's official daily weather records, 1978–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Managua's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Nicaragua — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
−2.3°F
1970s
85.2°F
Recent
82.8°F
A small downward drift
Hot days above 90°F
181 more days
1970s
36 / yr
Recent
217 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
29 fewer days
1970s
107 / yr
Recent
78 / yr
Drier on average

Managua's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1978 to 2024.

80°82°84°86°88°1978: 84.3°F1979: 83.6°F1980: 84.3°F1981: 83.6°F1982: 85.0°F1983: 85.0°F1984: 83.7°F1985: 85.0°F1986: 86.4°F1987: 87.5°F1988: 85.2°F1989: 85.3°F1990: 86.8°F1991: 86.8°F1997: 86.8°F1998: 86.5°F1999: 84.0°F2000: 84.9°F2001: 85.3°F2002: 85.3°F2003: 84.2°F2004: 84.4°F2005: 83.8°F2006: 83.0°F2007: 82.7°F2008: 83.0°F2009: 84.3°F2010: 83.1°F2011: 82.5°F2012: 83.3°F2013: 83.7°F2014: 84.4°F2015: 85.0°F2016: 82.2°F2017: 81.4°F2018: 82.9°F2019: 83.2°F2020: 83.7°F2021: 81.1°F2022: 81.1°F2023: 83.1°F2024: 82.3°Flong-term trend1978198019902000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 102 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°+4.0°January: +3.7°F+3.7JFebruary: +1.8°F+1.8FMarch: +1.0°F+1.0MApril: +1.0°F+1.0AMay: +3.6°F+3.6MJune: +3.5°F+3.5JJuly: +3.4°F+3.4JAugust: +3.5°F+3.5ASeptember: +3.6°F+3.6SOctober: +3.0°F+3.0ONovember: +2.2°F+2.2NDecember: +1.8°F+1.8D

January has warmed the most — about 3.7°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →