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Has the climate in Sur changed?

Sur has warmed about 2.1°F between 1983 and 2024.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Sur's official daily weather records, 1983–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Sur's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Oman — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+1.5°F
1970s
83.1°F
Recent
84.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
9 more days
1970s
191 / yr
Recent
200 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
14 more days
1970s
10 / yr
Recent
24 / yr
Wetter on average

Sur's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1983 to 2024.

80°82°84°86°88°1983: 82.5°F1984: 81.5°F1985: 81.9°F1986: 82.6°F1987: 83.7°F1988: 84.1°F1989: 82.6°F1990: 83.7°F1991: 82.8°F1992: 81.6°F1993: 84.5°F1994: 84.5°F1995: 84.1°F1996: 83.8°F1997: 83.9°F1998: 85.7°F1999: 84.6°F2000: 85.0°F2001: 86.8°F2002: 85.2°F2003: 84.0°F2004: 84.1°F2005: 83.9°F2006: 84.5°F2007: 83.8°F2008: 83.9°F2009: 84.9°F2010: 84.0°F2011: 85.2°F2012: 84.8°F2013: 83.3°F2014: 83.9°F2015: 86.3°F2016: 84.1°F2017: 84.4°F2018: 85.6°F2019: 83.8°F2020: 83.1°F2021: 85.1°F2022: 84.5°F2023: 84.7°F2024: 85.6°Flong-term trend198319902000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 6 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°January: +0.8°F+0.8JFebruary: +1.1°F+1.1FMarch: +1.2°F+1.2MApril: +1.0°F+1.0AMay: +2.5°F+2.5MJune: +0.9°F+0.9JJuly: +0.7°F+0.7JAugust: +0.1°F+0.1ASeptember: +0.6°F+0.6SOctober: +1.2°F+1.2ONovember: +0.5°F+0.5NDecember: +0.7°F+0.7D

May has warmed the most — about 2.5°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 25 years of daily observations at Sur, a weather station, about 6 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →