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Has the climate in Elbląg changed?

Elbląg has warmed about 0.9°F since 1986.

About 0.3°F per decade, measured from Elbląg's official daily weather records, 1986–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Elbląg's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Poland.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
12 more nights
1970s
60 / yr
Recent
72 / yr
Colder winters — more frosts
Average temperature
+0.4°F
1970s
47.0°F
Recent
47.4°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
1 fewer day
1970s
1 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
85 more days
1970s
72 / yr
Recent
157 / yr
Wetter on average

Elbląg's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1986 to 2025.

41°43°45°47°49°51°1986: 45.6°F1987: 42.8°F1988: 46.3°F1989: 48.7°F1990: 48.6°F1991: 46.2°F1999: 48.5°F2000: 48.9°F2001: 46.1°F2002: 48.7°F2003: 46.9°F2004: 46.6°F2005: 47.2°F2006: 47.6°F2007: 48.8°F2008: 48.5°F2009: 47.1°F2010: 45.1°F2011: 47.8°F2012: 46.7°F2013: 46.0°F2014: 47.2°F2015: 47.3°F2016: 46.6°F2017: 45.9°F2018: 47.8°F2019: 48.1°F2020: 48.3°F2021: 46.0°F2022: 47.2°F2023: 48.0°F2024: 49.7°F2025: 47.1°Flong-term trend198619902000201020202025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 30 more freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-6.0°-5.5°-5.0°-4.5°-4.0°-3.5°-3.0°-2.5°-2.0°-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: -3.8°F-3.8JFebruary: -2.9°F-2.9FMarch: -1.8°F-1.8MApril: -0.1°F-0.1AMay: +1.0°F+1.0MJune: -1.7°F-1.7JJuly: -1.5°F-1.5JAugust: -1.6°F-1.6ASeptember: -1.6°F-1.6SOctober: -5.9°F-5.9ONovember: -1.9°F-1.9NDecember: -2.6°F-2.6D

October has cooled the most — about 5.9°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 21 years of daily observations at Elblag-milejewo, a weather station, about 2 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →