Surgut has warmed about 3.4°F between 1971 and 2020.
About 0.7°F per decade, measured from Surgut's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.
Is that a lot? Surgut's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Russia — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.
What has actually changed
Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the
record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span
the headline and the chart use.
Freezing nights
115 fewer nights
1970s
190 / yr
→
Recent
75 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.2°F
1970s
28.4°F
→
Recent
30.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
→
Recent
0 / yr
About the same number of heat days
Rainy days
164 fewer days
1970s
164 / yr
→
Recent
0 / yr
Drier on average
Surgut's temperature, year by year
Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year
Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones.
Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope,
not a straight climb.
In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 63 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.
Methodology & sources
Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.