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Has the climate in Al Qunayţirah changed?

Al Qunayţirah has warmed about 4.9°F between 1973 and 2024.

About 0.9°F per decade, measured from Al Qunayţirah's official daily weather records, 1973–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Al Qunayţirah's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Syria — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
28 fewer nights
1970s
38 / yr
Recent
10 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+3.3°F
1970s
61.6°F
Recent
64.9°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
12 more days
1970s
88 / yr
Recent
100 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
3 / yr
Recent
3 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Al Qunayţirah's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1973 to 2024.

58°60°62°64°66°68°1973: 61.3°F1974: 61.7°F1975: 61.3°F1976: 61.6°F1977: 61.7°F1978: 62.4°F1979: 63.0°F1980: 61.5°F1981: 62.1°F1982: 60.2°F1983: 59.7°F1984: 60.8°F1985: 62.1°F1986: 62.3°F1987: 61.6°F1988: 62.1°F1989: 62.2°F1990: 62.2°F1991: 62.5°F1992: 59.6°F1993: 61.4°F1994: 63.6°F1995: 62.2°F1996: 63.3°F1997: 61.7°F1998: 64.2°F1999: 63.9°F2000: 63.1°F2001: 64.8°F2002: 64.0°F2003: 63.8°F2004: 63.4°F2005: 63.0°F2006: 63.0°F2007: 63.8°F2008: 63.9°F2009: 63.7°F2010: 66.7°F2011: 62.5°F2012: 65.1°F2013: 64.0°F2014: 64.3°F2015: 64.2°F2016: 65.2°F2017: 64.3°F2018: 65.9°F2019: 64.2°F2020: 65.3°F2021: 65.8°F2022: 64.9°F2023: 65.8°F2024: 67.6°Flong-term trend1973198019902000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 15 fewer freezing nights a year and about 8 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°+4.0°+4.5°+5.0°+5.5°+6.0°+6.5°+7.0°January: +3.9°F+3.9JFebruary: +3.1°F+3.1FMarch: +3.1°F+3.1MApril: +2.1°F+2.1AMay: +3.8°F+3.8MJune: +2.4°F+2.4JJuly: +2.0°F+2.0JAugust: +4.8°F+4.8ASeptember: +6.1°F+6.1SOctober: +6.9°F+6.9ONovember: +5.9°F+5.9NDecember: +5.7°F+5.7D

October has warmed the most — about 6.9°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →