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Has the climate in Mbeya changed?

Mbeya has warmed about 3.4°F between 2004 and 2014.

About 3.4°F per decade, measured from Mbeya's official daily weather records, 2004–2014. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Mbeya's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Tanzania.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+2.6°F
1970s
64.8°F
Recent
67.4°F
A steady upward drift

Mbeya's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 2004 to 2014.

62°64°66°68°70°2004: 64.2°F2005: 65.9°F2006: 64.3°F2007: 64.7°F2008: 63.9°F2009: 64.4°F2011: 64.9°F2012: 65.4°F2013: 68.2°F2014: 68.6°Flong-term trend20042014
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →