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Has the climate in Kerch changed?

Kerch has warmed about 4.4°F between 1971 and 2024.

About 0.9°F per decade, measured from Kerch's official daily weather records, 1971–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Kerch's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Ukraine — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
41 fewer nights
1970s
89 / yr
Recent
48 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+3.2°F
1970s
51.6°F
Recent
54.7°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
15 more days
1970s
3 / yr
Recent
18 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
25 fewer days
1970s
95 / yr
Recent
70 / yr
Drier on average

Kerch's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2024.

48°50°52°54°56°58°1971: 52.6°F1972: 51.7°F1973: 50.8°F1974: 52.0°F1975: 53.5°F1976: 49.4°F1977: 51.0°F1978: 51.1°F1979: 53.0°F1980: 50.9°F1981: 54.3°F1982: 51.0°F1983: 52.6°F1984: 52.1°F1985: 49.3°F1986: 52.0°F1987: 49.1°F1988: 51.3°F1989: 52.7°F1990: 53.2°F1991: 51.6°F1992: 50.6°F1993: 49.7°F1994: 52.5°F1995: 52.8°F1996: 51.5°F1997: 50.5°F1998: 52.5°F1999: 54.2°F2000: 52.5°F2001: 53.6°F2002: 53.3°F2003: 51.1°F2004: 53.0°F2005: 54.0°F2006: 50.9°F2009: 53.7°F2010: 55.9°F2011: 52.3°F2012: 54.4°F2013: 54.8°F2014: 54.3°F2015: 55.0°F2016: 54.4°F2017: 54.8°F2018: 55.4°F2019: 55.8°F2020: 56.0°F2021: 54.1°F2022: 54.6°F2023: 56.2°F2024: 57.3°Flong-term trend1971198019902000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 22 fewer freezing nights a year and about 8 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°January: +2.6°F+2.6JFebruary: +1.8°F+1.8FMarch: +2.1°F+2.1MApril: +0.5°F+0.5AMay: +1.5°F+1.5MJune: +1.8°F+1.8JJuly: +2.4°F+2.4JAugust: +2.8°F+2.8ASeptember: +2.1°F+2.1SOctober: +1.7°F+1.7ONovember: +1.3°F+1.3NDecember: +0.8°F+0.8D

August has warmed the most — about 2.8°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 27 years of daily observations at Kerch, a weather station, about 7 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →