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Has the climate in Ashford changed?

Ashford has warmed about 2.3°F between 1971 and 2005.

About 0.7°F per decade, measured from Ashford's official daily weather records, 1971–2005. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Ashford's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in United Kingdom.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
6 fewer nights
1970s
51 / yr
Recent
45 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.6°F
1970s
49.5°F
Recent
51.1°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
About the same number of heat days
Rainy days
6 more days
1970s
157 / yr
Recent
163 / yr
Wetter on average

Ashford's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2005.

47°49°51°53°1971: 50.0°F1972: 48.5°F1973: 49.5°F1974: 49.6°F1975: 49.7°F1976: 50.5°F1977: 49.6°F1978: 49.2°F1979: 48.6°F1980: 49.4°F1981: 49.3°F1982: 50.9°F1983: 50.8°F1984: 49.9°F1985: 48.4°F1986: 48.3°F1987: 49.0°F1988: 50.3°F1989: 52.1°F1990: 51.7°F1991: 49.5°F1992: 50.6°F1993: 50.0°F1994: 51.3°F1995: 51.5°F1996: 48.7°F1997: 51.4°F1998: 50.8°F1999: 51.8°F2000: 50.9°F2001: 50.7°F2002: 51.8°F2003: 51.5°F2004: 51.4°F2005: 51.3°Flong-term trend19711980199020002005
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 5 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: +0.8°F+0.8JFebruary: +1.0°F+1.0FMarch: +1.1°F+1.1MApril: +1.3°F+1.3AMay: +0.8°F+0.8MJune: +1.0°F+1.0JJuly: +0.7°F+0.7JAugust: +1.5°F+1.5ASeptember: +0.7°F+0.7SOctober: +0.3°F+0.3ONovember: +0.9°F+0.9NDecember: -0.5°F-0.5D

August has warmed the most — about 1.5°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 15 years of daily observations at Wye, a weather station, about 7 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →