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Has the climate in Cumberland changed?

Cumberland has warmed about 2.6°F between 1983 and 2019.

About 0.7°F per decade, measured from Cumberland's official daily weather records, 1983–2019. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Cumberland's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in United States.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
3 fewer nights
1970s
105 / yr
Recent
102 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.7°F
1970s
53.3°F
Recent
55.0°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
7 more days
1970s
19 / yr
Recent
26 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
21 more days
1970s
114 / yr
Recent
135 / yr
Wetter on average

Cumberland's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1983 to 2019.

49°51°53°55°57°59°1983: 52.9°F1984: 53.3°F1985: 53.2°F1986: 52.8°F1987: 53.3°F1988: 50.8°F1989: 52.4°F1990: 57.0°F1991: 54.8°F1992: 52.1°F1994: 53.5°F1995: 53.7°F1996: 51.8°F1997: 53.4°F1998: 57.1°F1999: 55.6°F2000: 53.9°F2001: 54.9°F2002: 55.4°F2003: 52.9°F2004: 54.3°F2005: 54.6°F2006: 56.0°F2007: 55.0°F2008: 53.6°F2009: 53.5°F2010: 55.3°F2011: 55.3°F2012: 56.7°F2014: 52.4°F2015: 54.5°F2016: 55.6°F2017: 56.3°F2018: 54.9°F2019: 56.6°Flong-term trend19831990200020102019
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 2 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: +1.0°F+1.0JFebruary: +0.1°F+0.1FMarch: +0.1°F+0.1MApril: +1.2°F+1.2AMay: +1.0°F+1.0MJune: +0.8°F+0.8JJuly: +0.5°F+0.5JAugust: +1.1°F+1.1ASeptember: +1.3°F+1.3SOctober: +0.3°F+0.3ONovember: +0.4°F+0.4NDecember: +1.6°F+1.6D

December has warmed the most — about 1.6°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Winchester (NOAA GHCN station USC00449181), about 74 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →