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Has the climate in Dover changed?

Dover has warmed about 2°F since 1971.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Dover's official daily weather records, 1971–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Dover's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in United States.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
7 fewer nights
1970s
84 / yr
Recent
77 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.4°F
1970s
56.7°F
Recent
58.0°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
about the same
1970s
30 / yr
Recent
30 / yr
About the same number of heat days
Rainy days
26 fewer days
1970s
112 / yr
Recent
86 / yr
Drier on average

Dover's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2025.

53°55°57°59°61°1971: 56.3°F1972: 55.7°F1973: 57.7°F1974: 56.8°F1975: 57.3°F1976: 56.0°F1977: 57.2°F1978: 54.3°F1979: 57.7°F1980: 56.3°F1981: 55.6°F1982: 56.2°F1983: 57.1°F1984: 57.0°F1985: 57.7°F1986: 57.4°F1987: 57.5°F1988: 56.1°F1989: 55.6°F1990: 58.8°F1991: 59.0°F1992: 55.1°F1993: 56.1°F1994: 56.1°F1995: 56.7°F1996: 55.1°F1997: 55.9°F1998: 58.2°F1999: 57.4°F2000: 55.4°F2001: 57.1°F2002: 58.3°F2003: 55.7°F2004: 57.1°F2005: 58.6°F2006: 58.9°F2007: 57.9°F2008: 58.0°F2009: 58.9°F2010: 57.9°F2011: 58.9°F2012: 59.1°F2013: 56.4°F2014: 55.8°F2015: 57.7°F2016: 58.4°F2017: 58.6°F2018: 57.9°F2019: 58.2°F2022: 57.6°F2023: 59.1°F2024: 59.1°F2025: 57.2°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 5 fewer freezing nights a year and about 4 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: +0.9°F+0.9JFebruary: +0.8°F+0.8FMarch: -0.2°F-0.2MApril: +1.0°F+1.0AMay: +0.3°F+0.3MJune: +0.6°F+0.6JJuly: +0.4°F+0.4JAugust: +0.4°F+0.4ASeptember: +0.7°F+0.7SOctober: +0.8°F+0.8ONovember: -0.1°F-0.1NDecember: +0.7°F+0.7D

April has warmed the most — about 1.0°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Dover (NOAA GHCN station USC00072730), about 2 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →