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Has the climate in Gardiner changed?

Gardiner has warmed about 2.5°F between 1971 and 2019.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Gardiner's official daily weather records, 1971–2019. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Gardiner's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
18 fewer nights
1970s
167 / yr
Recent
149 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.8°F
1970s
44.8°F
Recent
46.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
8 more days
1970s
17 / yr
Recent
25 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
11 more days
1970s
61 / yr
Recent
72 / yr
Wetter on average

Gardiner's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2019.

40°42°44°46°48°50°1971: 44.5°F1972: 44.4°F1973: 43.3°F1974: 45.3°F1975: 42.4°F1976: 44.2°F1977: 44.4°F1978: 42.5°F1979: 44.6°F1980: 46.4°F1981: 46.7°F1982: 41.8°F1983: 46.0°F1987: 47.7°F1988: 47.7°F1989: 45.4°F1990: 46.9°F1991: 48.6°F1992: 47.0°F1993: 43.9°F1994: 46.6°F1995: 45.0°F1996: 45.0°F1997: 46.0°F1998: 47.4°F1999: 47.1°F2000: 47.6°F2001: 47.7°F2002: 44.8°F2003: 47.7°F2004: 46.8°F2005: 44.9°F2006: 47.3°F2007: 48.7°F2009: 47.2°F2010: 45.7°F2011: 45.1°F2012: 47.9°F2013: 46.5°F2014: 47.4°F2015: 48.3°F2016: 47.4°F2017: 46.3°F2018: 45.9°F2019: 43.8°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102019
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 7 fewer freezing nights a year and about 6 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°January: +2.2°F+2.2JFebruary: -0.6°F-0.6FMarch: +1.4°F+1.4MApril: +0.9°F+0.9AMay: +0.5°F+0.5MJune: +0.4°F+0.4JJuly: +1.7°F+1.7JAugust: +1.1°F+1.1ASeptember: +1.8°F+1.8SOctober: -0.1°F-0.1ONovember: +0.8°F+0.8NDecember: +1.1°F+1.1D

January has warmed the most — about 2.2°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 28 years of daily observations at Gardiner, a weather station, inside the city. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →