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Has the climate in Paradise changed?

Paradise has warmed about 3°F between 1971 and 2021.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Paradise's official daily weather records, 1971–2021. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Paradise's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
14 fewer nights
1970s
18 / yr
Recent
4 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.0°F
1970s
60.1°F
Recent
62.1°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
1 more day
1970s
56 / yr
Recent
57 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
6 fewer days
1970s
78 / yr
Recent
72 / yr
Drier on average

Paradise's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2021.

57°59°61°63°65°1971: 58.3°F1972: 58.9°F1973: 59.3°F1974: 59.6°F1975: 58.5°F1976: 60.6°F1977: 60.8°F1978: 60.1°F1979: 60.0°F1981: 61.7°F1982: 60.2°F1983: 59.5°F1984: 61.0°F1985: 60.4°F1986: 61.5°F1987: 61.3°F1988: 61.8°F1989: 60.1°F1990: 60.7°F1991: 61.2°F1992: 62.1°F1993: 60.7°F1994: 60.9°F1995: 61.5°F1996: 62.2°F1997: 62.4°F1998: 59.2°F1999: 60.3°F2000: 60.8°F2001: 61.8°F2002: 61.3°F2003: 61.5°F2004: 62.1°F2005: 62.2°F2006: 61.8°F2007: 63.6°F2008: 62.0°F2009: 61.7°F2010: 60.0°F2011: 60.0°F2012: 61.6°F2013: 62.7°F2015: 63.6°F2016: 62.1°F2017: 61.5°F2018: 64.7°F2020: 63.0°F2021: 61.5°Flong-term trend197119902000201020202021
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 9 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: +1.3°F+1.3JFebruary: +0.6°F+0.6FMarch: +1.3°F+1.3MApril: +0.3°F+0.3AMay: +0.6°F+0.6MJune: +0.7°F+0.7JJuly: +1.4°F+1.4JAugust: +1.0°F+1.0ASeptember: +1.4°F+1.4SOctober: +1.1°F+1.1ONovember: +1.6°F+1.6NDecember: +0.7°F+0.7D

November has warmed the most — about 1.6°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Paradise (NOAA GHCN station USC00046685), inside the city.

How we build these numbers →