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Has the climate in Rochester changed?

Rochester has warmed about 0.9°F between 1971 and 2024.

About 0.2°F per decade, measured from Rochester's official daily weather records, 1971–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Rochester's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in United States.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
10 fewer nights
1970s
161 / yr
Recent
151 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+0.7°F
1970s
46.8°F
Recent
47.5°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
about the same
1970s
10 / yr
Recent
10 / yr
About the same number of heat days
Rainy days
4 more days
1970s
113 / yr
Recent
117 / yr
Wetter on average

Rochester's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2024.

44°46°48°50°52°1971: 46.4°F1972: 45.3°F1973: 48.4°F1974: 46.2°F1975: 47.8°F1976: 46.4°F1977: 46.8°F1978: 45.3°F1979: 47.7°F1980: 45.8°F1981: 46.4°F1982: 47.2°F1983: 47.7°F1984: 47.7°F1985: 47.0°F1986: 46.8°F1987: 46.5°F1988: 47.3°F1989: 46.6°F1990: 49.4°F1991: 49.2°F1992: 46.3°F1993: 47.0°F1994: 47.1°F1995: 47.4°F1996: 47.0°F1997: 46.6°F1998: 49.9°F1999: 49.5°F2000: 47.3°F2001: 48.7°F2002: 48.7°F2003: 46.6°F2004: 47.5°F2005: 46.8°F2006: 45.2°F2007: 46.8°F2008: 48.3°F2009: 47.8°F2010: 50.5°F2011: 48.3°F2012: 48.4°F2013: 46.4°F2014: 45.9°F2015: 45.3°F2016: 47.1°F2017: 46.3°F2018: 45.5°F2019: 45.5°F2020: 47.9°F2021: 47.8°F2022: 48.2°F2023: 48.9°F2024: 49.6°Flong-term trend1971198019902000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 6 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-3.0°-2.5°-2.0°-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: -1.3°F-1.3JFebruary: -1.9°F-1.9FMarch: -2.9°F-2.9MApril: -1.6°F-1.6AMay: -2.3°F-2.3MJune: -2.1°F-2.1JJuly: -1.9°F-1.9JAugust: -1.5°F-1.5ASeptember: -0.7°F-0.7SOctober: -1.3°F-1.3ONovember: -1.3°F-1.3NDecember: -0.4°F-0.4D

March has cooled the most — about 2.9°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Sanford 2 Nnw (NOAA GHCN station USC00177479), about 23 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →