About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Rochester's official daily weather records, 1971–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.
Is that a lot? Rochester's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.
What has actually changed
Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the
record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span
the headline and the chart use.
Freezing nights
9 fewer nights
1970s
134 / yr
→
Recent
125 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.7°F
1970s
48.1°F
→
Recent
49.9°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
about the same
1970s
9 / yr
→
Recent
9 / yr
About the same number of heat days
Rainy days
3 more days
1970s
166 / yr
→
Recent
169 / yr
Wetter on average
Rochester's temperature, year by year
Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2025.
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year
Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones.
Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope,
not a straight climb.
In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 4 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.
When in the year the change shows up
How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s.
Useful if you garden or care about a particular season —
otherwise the headline above already has the answer.
December has warmed the most — about 2.2°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.
Methodology & sources
Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Rochester Gtr Intl (NOAA GHCN station USW00014768), about 6 km from the city centre.