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Has the climate in Pago Pago changed?

Pago Pago has warmed about 2.6°F since 1971.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Pago Pago's official daily weather records, 1971–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Pago Pago's warming is broadly in line with other cities across Oceania — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+1.7°F
1970s
80.3°F
Recent
82.0°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
24 more days
1970s
8 / yr
Recent
32 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
16 more days
1970s
248 / yr
Recent
264 / yr
Wetter on average

Pago Pago's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2025.

78°80°82°84°86°1971: 79.2°F1972: 80.1°F1973: 80.7°F1974: 79.6°F1975: 80.0°F1976: 79.7°F1977: 80.5°F1978: 80.1°F1979: 80.5°F1980: 80.8°F1981: 80.3°F1982: 80.5°F1983: 80.6°F1984: 80.5°F1985: 80.6°F1986: 80.8°F1987: 80.6°F1988: 81.0°F1989: 80.4°F1990: 81.1°F1991: 81.4°F1992: 81.4°F1993: 81.0°F1994: 81.7°F1995: 82.7°F1996: 82.6°F1997: 82.7°F1998: 84.5°F1999: 81.6°F2000: 82.5°F2001: 82.9°F2002: 83.5°F2003: 82.3°F2004: 81.8°F2005: 82.6°F2006: 82.0°F2007: 83.3°F2008: 82.7°F2009: 82.3°F2010: 82.3°F2011: 81.2°F2012: 81.4°F2013: 82.0°F2014: 81.7°F2015: 81.5°F2016: 82.5°F2017: 82.2°F2018: 81.8°F2019: 82.3°F2020: 82.2°F2021: 81.9°F2022: 81.9°F2023: 82.2°F2024: 82.8°F2025: 81.8°Flong-term trend1971198019902000201020202025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 21 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: +1.4°F+1.4JFebruary: +1.3°F+1.3FMarch: +1.3°F+1.3MApril: +1.4°F+1.4AMay: +1.3°F+1.3MJune: +1.1°F+1.1JJuly: +1.2°F+1.2JAugust: +1.1°F+1.1ASeptember: +1.2°F+1.2SOctober: +1.2°F+1.2ONovember: +1.2°F+1.2NDecember: +1.2°F+1.2D

January has warmed the most — about 1.4°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 30 years of daily observations at Pago Pago Wso AP, a weather station, about 6 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →