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Has the climate in Frankston East changed?

Frankston East has warmed about 2.6°F between 1971 and 2014.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Frankston East's official daily weather records, 1971–2014. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Frankston East's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Australia.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
1 fewer night
1970s
1 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.8°F
1970s
59.9°F
Recent
61.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
3 more days
1970s
21 / yr
Recent
24 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
22 fewer days
1970s
144 / yr
Recent
122 / yr
Drier on average

Frankston East's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2014.

58°60°62°64°1971: 59.8°F1972: 59.9°F1973: 59.7°F1974: 60.0°F1975: 60.0°F1976: 59.6°F1977: 59.2°F1978: 59.1°F1979: 60.4°F1980: 60.5°F1981: 60.8°F1982: 60.1°F1983: 59.7°F1984: 59.1°F1985: 59.9°F1986: 59.0°F1987: 59.4°F1988: 61.5°F1989: 60.2°F1990: 60.8°F1991: 60.1°F1992: 59.5°F1993: 60.6°F1994: 59.9°F1995: 59.2°F1996: 59.3°F1997: 61.0°F1998: 60.6°F1999: 61.6°F2000: 61.7°F2001: 61.3°F2002: 61.2°F2003: 61.1°F2004: 60.7°F2005: 61.9°F2006: 60.9°F2007: 62.7°F2008: 61.2°F2009: 62.2°F2010: 61.7°F2011: 61.5°F2012: 61.5°F2013: 62.3°F2014: 62.7°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102014
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: +1.6°F+1.6JFebruary: +1.0°F+1.0FMarch: +0.8°F+0.8MApril: +0.7°F+0.7AMay: +0.3°F+0.3MJune: +1.2°F+1.2JJuly: +1.2°F+1.2JAugust: +0.9°F+0.9ASeptember: +1.2°F+1.2SOctober: +1.0°F+1.0ONovember: +1.5°F+1.5NDecember: +0.9°F+0.9D

January has warmed the most — about 1.6°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 24 years of daily observations at Melbourne Regional Office, a weather station, about 39 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →