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Has the climate in Aghstafa changed?

Aghstafa has warmed about 3.9°F between 1971 and 2024.

About 0.8°F per decade, measured from Aghstafa's official daily weather records, 1971–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Aghstafa's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Azerbaijan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
61 fewer nights
1970s
62 / yr
Recent
1 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.6°F
1970s
55.2°F
Recent
57.8°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
22 more days
1970s
28 / yr
Recent
50 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
84 fewer days
1970s
102 / yr
Recent
18 / yr
Drier on average

Aghstafa's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2024.

52°54°56°58°60°1971: 56.0°F1972: 54.0°F1973: 54.1°F1974: 54.2°F1975: 55.9°F1976: 53.6°F1977: 54.9°F1978: 55.1°F1979: 56.8°F1980: 55.6°F1981: 56.5°F1982: 54.2°F1983: 55.2°F1984: 54.8°F1985: 55.5°F1986: 56.0°F1987: 54.9°F1988: 55.0°F1989: 57.1°F1990: 56.3°F1991: 56.4°F1992: 53.5°F1993: 53.5°F1994: 55.5°F1995: 57.0°F1996: 55.6°F1997: 55.5°F1998: 58.0°F1999: 57.2°F2000: 57.2°F2001: 57.1°F2002: 56.3°F2003: 55.8°F2004: 56.7°F2006: 57.1°F2007: 56.6°F2008: 55.9°F2009: 56.7°F2010: 58.6°F2011: 55.2°F2012: 57.6°F2016: 57.3°F2017: 58.2°F2018: 59.5°F2019: 58.7°F2020: 58.5°F2021: 58.6°F2022: 58.2°F2023: 59.4°F2024: 58.8°Flong-term trend1971198019902000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 36 fewer freezing nights a year and about 6 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-3.0°-2.5°-2.0°-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: -0.2°F-0.2JFebruary: -0.4°F-0.4FMarch: -0.8°F-0.8MApril: -3.0°F-3.0AMay: -1.0°F-1.0MJune: +0.4°F+0.4JJuly: +0.1°F+0.1JAugust: +1.0°F+1.0ASeptember: -0.5°F-0.5SOctober: +0.0°F+0.0ONovember: -1.4°F-1.4NDecember: -1.1°F-1.1D

April has cooled the most — about 3.0°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →