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Has the climate in Alice Town changed?

Alice Town has warmed about 1.1°F between 1971 and 2021.

About 0.2°F per decade, measured from Alice Town's official daily weather records, 1971–2021. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Alice Town's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Bahamas — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+0.8°F
1970s
76.1°F
Recent
76.9°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
15 more days
1970s
11 / yr
Recent
26 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
22 fewer days
1970s
119 / yr
Recent
97 / yr
Drier on average

Alice Town's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2021.

73°75°77°79°1971: 76.1°F1972: 77.1°F1973: 75.5°F1974: 76.3°F1975: 76.8°F1976: 75.3°F1977: 74.9°F1978: 75.8°F1979: 76.0°F1980: 75.8°F1981: 75.6°F1982: 78.3°F1983: 76.0°F1984: 76.0°F1985: 75.9°F1986: 76.6°F1987: 76.0°F1988: 75.8°F1989: 76.6°F1990: 78.2°F1991: 77.4°F1992: 76.1°F1993: 76.7°F1994: 77.7°F1995: 77.4°F1996: 76.7°F1997: 77.5°F1998: 76.5°F1999: 77.3°F2000: 77.5°F2003: 77.1°F2004: 75.7°F2005: 76.3°F2006: 76.6°F2007: 77.9°F2008: 75.5°F2009: 76.4°F2010: 74.3°F2011: 77.0°F2012: 76.8°F2013: 77.8°F2014: 76.2°F2015: 78.0°F2016: 77.0°F2017: 77.0°F2018: 78.4°F2019: 76.8°F2020: 76.0°F2021: 78.4°Flong-term trend1971198019902000201020202021
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 11 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: -1.4°F-1.4JFebruary: -0.3°F-0.3FMarch: -1.0°F-1.0MApril: -0.1°F-0.1AMay: -0.2°F-0.2MJune: -0.1°F-0.1JJuly: -0.1°F-0.1JAugust: +0.1°F+0.1ASeptember: +0.0°F+0.0SOctober: +0.0°F+0.0ONovember: -1.1°F-1.1NDecember: -0.3°F-0.3D

January has cooled the most — about 1.4°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Miami Beach (NOAA GHCN station USW00092811), about 84 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →