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Has the climate in Ancaster changed?

Ancaster has warmed about 1.8°F between 1971 and 2011.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Ancaster's official daily weather records, 1971–2011. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Ancaster's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+1.4°F
1970s
45.5°F
Recent
46.9°F
A steady upward drift

Ancaster's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2011.

42°44°46°48°50°1971: 46.4°F1972: 44.3°F1973: 47.2°F1974: 45.5°F1975: 46.8°F1976: 44.2°F1977: 45.7°F1978: 43.9°F1979: 45.1°F1980: 44.6°F1981: 45.7°F1982: 45.3°F1983: 46.7°F1984: 45.4°F1985: 45.8°F1986: 46.0°F1987: 47.4°F1988: 46.3°F1989: 44.7°F1990: 47.5°F1991: 47.7°F1992: 44.4°F1993: 45.0°F1994: 44.9°F1995: 46.1°F1996: 44.4°F1997: 45.3°F1998: 49.6°F1999: 47.9°F2000: 45.7°F2001: 48.0°F2002: 47.9°F2003: 45.3°F2004: 45.9°F2005: 46.8°F2006: 48.5°F2007: 47.0°F2008: 45.9°F2009: 45.3°F2010: 47.8°F2011: 47.9°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102011
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: +0.8°F+0.8JFebruary: +0.9°F+0.9FMarch: +0.3°F+0.3MApril: +0.7°F+0.7AMay: -0.2°F-0.2MJune: +0.9°F+0.9JJuly: +0.1°F+0.1JAugust: +0.5°F+0.5ASeptember: +0.9°F+0.9SOctober: +0.7°F+0.7ONovember: +1.0°F+1.0NDecember: +1.0°F+1.0D

December has warmed the most — about 1.0°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 21 years of daily observations at Hamilton A, a weather station, about 7 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →