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Has the climate in Belleville changed?

Belleville has warmed about 2.8°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Belleville's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Belleville's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+2.0°F
1970s
45.5°F
Recent
47.5°F
A steady upward drift

Belleville's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

34°36°38°40°42°44°46°48°50°52°54°1971: 45.6°F1972: 44.1°F1973: 47.4°F1974: 45.0°F1975: 46.9°F1976: 44.2°F1977: 45.5°F1978: 44.2°F1979: 45.8°F1980: 44.3°F1981: 45.7°F1982: 45.3°F1983: 46.9°F1984: 45.8°F1985: 45.5°F1986: 46.2°F1987: 47.8°F1988: 46.8°F1989: 45.0°F1990: 47.4°F1991: 47.8°F1992: 44.4°F1993: 44.9°F1994: 45.4°F1995: 46.0°F1996: 45.8°F1997: 45.8°F1998: 49.9°F1999: 48.9°F2000: 46.0°F2001: 48.6°F2002: 48.3°F2003: 45.7°F2004: 46.2°F2005: 48.1°F2006: 49.4°F2007: 47.4°F2008: 51.1°F2009: 35.3°F2010: 48.2°F2011: 52.4°F2012: 52.6°F2013: 45.9°F2014: 44.8°F2015: 44.5°F2016: 49.0°F2017: 48.1°F2018: 48.2°F2019: 46.0°F2020: 49.2°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°January: +1.4°F+1.4JFebruary: +0.9°F+0.9FMarch: +0.5°F+0.5MApril: +0.3°F+0.3AMay: +0.4°F+0.4MJune: +1.2°F+1.2JJuly: +1.0°F+1.0JAugust: +1.2°F+1.2ASeptember: +2.1°F+2.1SOctober: +1.4°F+1.4ONovember: +0.6°F+0.6NDecember: +2.1°F+2.1D

September has warmed the most — about 2.2°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 28 years of daily observations at Belleville, a weather station, about 2 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →