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Has the climate in Duncan changed?

Duncan has warmed about 1.3°F between 1987 and 2016.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Duncan's official daily weather records, 1987–2016. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Duncan's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+0.4°F
1970s
48.7°F
Recent
49.2°F
A steady upward drift

Duncan's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1987 to 2016.

36°38°40°42°44°46°48°50°52°54°1987: 37.5°F1988: 49.8°F1989: 49.2°F1990: 49.7°F1991: 49.9°F1992: 51.3°F1993: 49.6°F1994: 50.7°F1995: 51.0°F1996: 48.8°F1997: 50.5°F1998: 51.4°F1999: 49.4°F2000: 49.3°F2001: 49.3°F2002: 50.1°F2003: 50.9°F2004: 51.8°F2005: 50.8°F2006: 50.4°F2007: 49.6°F2008: 48.6°F2009: 49.5°F2010: 49.7°F2011: 48.4°F2012: 49.5°F2013: 50.0°F2014: 51.6°F2015: 53.1°F2016: 41.8°Flong-term trend19871990200020102016
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 25 years of daily observations at Duncan Kelvin Creek, a weather station, about 6 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →