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Has the climate in Grande Prairie changed?

Grande Prairie has warmed about 2.1°F between 1971 and 2013.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Grande Prairie's official daily weather records, 1971–2013. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Grande Prairie's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+1.5°F
1970s
34.7°F
Recent
36.3°F
A steady upward drift

Grande Prairie's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2013.

29°31°33°35°37°39°41°43°1971: 33.9°F1972: 31.2°F1973: 33.7°F1974: 34.1°F1975: 34.1°F1976: 37.1°F1977: 36.1°F1978: 36.1°F1979: 34.2°F1980: 35.8°F1981: 38.6°F1982: 31.3°F1983: 34.8°F1984: 35.2°F1985: 35.9°F1986: 36.9°F1987: 39.4°F1988: 38.0°F1989: 36.3°F1990: 35.4°F1991: 37.2°F1992: 38.3°F1993: 38.7°F1994: 34.7°F1995: 34.1°F1996: 30.6°F1997: 36.4°F1998: 37.0°F1999: 37.3°F2000: 35.4°F2001: 37.6°F2002: 35.1°F2003: 35.2°F2004: 36.8°F2005: 38.0°F2006: 36.9°F2007: 35.9°F2008: 35.8°F2009: 34.0°F2010: 34.9°F2011: 35.6°F2012: 34.9°F2013: 41.5°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102013
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°January: +1.6°F+1.6JFebruary: +2.6°F+2.6FMarch: -1.4°F-1.4MApril: -0.7°F-0.7AMay: -0.5°F-0.5MJune: +0.3°F+0.3JJuly: +0.5°F+0.5JAugust: +0.5°F+0.5ASeptember: +0.8°F+0.8SOctober: -1.1°F-1.1ONovember: +1.1°F+1.1NDecember: +1.0°F+1.0D

February has warmed the most — about 2.6°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 23 years of daily observations at Grande Prairie A, a weather station, about 6 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →