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Has the climate in Innisfil changed?

Innisfil has warmed about 3°F between 1973 and 2020.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Innisfil's official daily weather records, 1973–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Innisfil's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+2.1°F
1970s
43.5°F
Recent
45.6°F
A steady upward drift

Innisfil's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1973 to 2020.

40°42°44°46°48°50°1973: 45.9°F1974: 43.0°F1975: 44.5°F1976: 41.7°F1977: 43.3°F1978: 41.4°F1979: 43.0°F1980: 41.8°F1981: 43.3°F1982: 43.1°F1983: 44.6°F1984: 43.8°F1985: 43.5°F1986: 44.1°F1987: 45.6°F1988: 44.2°F1989: 42.5°F1990: 45.8°F1991: 45.9°F1992: 42.3°F1993: 42.9°F1994: 43.1°F1995: 43.8°F1996: 42.9°F1997: 43.1°F1998: 47.7°F1999: 46.0°F2000: 44.0°F2001: 46.3°F2002: 46.0°F2003: 43.0°F2004: 43.1°F2005: 45.1°F2006: 46.7°F2007: 45.4°F2008: 44.5°F2009: 43.8°F2010: 46.7°F2011: 46.2°F2012: 48.5°F2013: 44.7°F2014: 43.1°F2015: 45.2°F2016: 47.6°F2017: 45.8°F2018: 45.5°F2019: 43.9°F2020: 46.8°Flong-term trend197319801990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°January: +1.6°F+1.6JFebruary: +1.2°F+1.2FMarch: +0.6°F+0.6MApril: +0.3°F+0.3AMay: +0.8°F+0.8MJune: +1.3°F+1.3JJuly: +0.9°F+0.9JAugust: +1.1°F+1.1ASeptember: +2.2°F+2.2SOctober: +1.3°F+1.3ONovember: +0.6°F+0.6NDecember: +2.2°F+2.2D

December has warmed the most — about 2.2°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 30 years of daily observations at Shanty Bay, a weather station, about 11 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →