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Has the climate in Mission changed?

Mission has warmed about 2.1°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Mission's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Mission's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+1.3°F
1970s
49.4°F
Recent
50.6°F
A steady upward drift

Mission's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

46°48°50°52°54°1971: 47.9°F1972: 48.1°F1973: 49.0°F1974: 50.0°F1975: 48.4°F1976: 49.2°F1977: 49.2°F1978: 49.2°F1979: 50.3°F1980: 49.5°F1981: 50.9°F1982: 49.1°F1983: 50.5°F1984: 49.1°F1985: 48.7°F1986: 50.6°F1987: 51.9°F1988: 50.1°F1989: 49.4°F1990: 50.1°F1991: 50.4°F1992: 52.1°F1993: 50.4°F1994: 51.5°F1995: 51.7°F1996: 49.0°F1997: 51.5°F1998: 52.1°F1999: 50.3°F2000: 49.4°F2001: 49.8°F2002: 49.9°F2003: 51.0°F2004: 51.9°F2005: 50.9°F2006: 50.7°F2007: 49.4°F2008: 48.2°F2009: 50.1°F2010: 50.6°F2011: 48.4°F2012: 49.4°F2013: 50.4°F2014: 51.6°F2015: 53.5°F2016: 52.2°F2017: 50.7°F2018: 51.9°F2019: 51.1°F2020: 51.1°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: +1.4°F+1.4JFebruary: +0.2°F+0.2FMarch: -0.0°F-0.0MApril: +0.2°F+0.2AMay: +1.5°F+1.5MJune: +0.7°F+0.7JJuly: +1.4°F+1.4JAugust: +1.2°F+1.2ASeptember: +0.7°F+0.7SOctober: +0.1°F+0.1ONovember: +0.9°F+0.9NDecember: +0.3°F+0.3D

May has warmed the most — about 1.5°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 30 years of daily observations at Mission West Abbey, a weather station, about 3 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →