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Has the climate in Newmarket changed?

Newmarket has cooled about 2.4°F between 1986 and 2015.

About 0.8°F per decade, measured from Newmarket's official daily weather records, 1986–2015. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Newmarket's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Canada.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
−0.6°F
1970s
45.9°F
Recent
45.3°F
A small downward drift

Newmarket's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1986 to 2015.

28°30°32°34°36°38°40°42°44°46°48°50°52°54°1986: 52.3°F1987: 46.1°F1988: 44.8°F1989: 43.4°F1990: 47.0°F1991: 47.4°F1992: 43.9°F1993: 44.4°F1994: 44.5°F1995: 45.2°F1996: 44.2°F1997: 44.6°F1998: 49.2°F1999: 47.5°F2000: 45.0°F2001: 47.9°F2002: 47.7°F2003: 45.2°F2004: 45.5°F2005: 47.1°F2006: 48.5°F2007: 46.9°F2008: 45.9°F2009: 45.4°F2010: 48.3°F2011: 47.6°F2012: 49.8°F2013: 46.3°F2014: 44.5°F2015: 29.8°Flong-term trend19861990200020102015
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 24 years of daily observations at Toronto Buttonville A, a weather station, about 23 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →