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Has the climate in Niagara-on-the-Lake changed?

Niagara-on-the-Lake has warmed about 6.8°F between 1992 and 2020.

About 2.3°F per decade, measured from Niagara-on-the-Lake's official daily weather records, 1992–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Niagara-on-the-Lake's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Canada.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+4.3°F
1970s
45.8°F
Recent
50.1°F
A steady upward drift

Niagara-on-the-Lake's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1992 to 2020.

32°34°36°38°40°42°44°46°48°50°52°54°1992: 33.8°F1993: 47.3°F1994: 36.4°F1995: 48.4°F1996: 47.4°F1997: 47.9°F1998: 51.4°F1999: 50.3°F2000: 48.9°F2001: 51.0°F2002: 50.6°F2003: 47.6°F2004: 48.6°F2005: 52.2°F2006: 49.7°F2007: 50.0°F2008: 50.3°F2009: 48.2°F2010: 46.9°F2011: 50.3°F2012: 52.8°F2013: 49.3°F2014: 46.8°F2015: 49.0°F2016: 51.9°F2017: 50.8°F2018: 50.1°F2019: 48.8°F2020: 51.4°Flong-term trend1992200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 25 years of daily observations at Port Weller (aut), a weather station, about 11 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →