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Has the climate in Prince Edward changed?

Prince Edward has warmed about 1.2°F between 1986 and 2018.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Prince Edward's official daily weather records, 1986–2018. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Prince Edward's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+1.3°F
1970s
46.5°F
Recent
47.8°F
A steady upward drift

Prince Edward's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1986 to 2018.

42°44°46°48°50°52°54°1986: 52.4°F1987: 47.7°F1988: 46.6°F1989: 44.7°F1990: 47.5°F1991: 47.8°F1992: 44.3°F1993: 44.8°F1994: 44.7°F1995: 45.9°F1996: 45.1°F1997: 45.1°F1998: 49.1°F1999: 47.8°F2000: 43.7°F2001: 48.1°F2002: 47.3°F2003: 45.1°F2004: 45.4°F2005: 47.0°F2006: 48.3°F2007: 46.2°F2008: 46.6°F2009: 46.3°F2010: 49.1°F2011: 48.2°F2012: 50.3°F2013: 46.6°F2014: 45.6°F2015: 47.0°F2016: 49.2°F2017: 47.9°F2018: 48.5°Flong-term trend19861990200020102018
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 28 years of daily observations at Mountainview, a weather station, about 7 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →