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Has the climate in Saint-Jérôme changed?

Saint-Jérôme has warmed about 3°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Saint-Jérôme's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Saint-Jérôme's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+2.1°F
1970s
40.7°F
Recent
42.8°F
A steady upward drift

Saint-Jérôme's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

35°37°39°41°43°45°47°49°1971: 39.9°F1972: 38.5°F1973: 42.3°F1974: 36.4°F1975: 41.7°F1976: 38.9°F1977: 42.2°F1978: 39.8°F1979: 41.2°F1980: 39.7°F1981: 42.3°F1982: 41.1°F1983: 43.2°F1984: 41.9°F1985: 40.4°F1986: 41.0°F1987: 42.7°F1988: 41.5°F1989: 39.8°F1990: 42.7°F1991: 42.6°F1992: 39.4°F1993: 39.8°F1994: 40.2°F1995: 41.7°F1996: 41.0°F1997: 40.7°F1998: 44.7°F1999: 44.4°F2000: 42.2°F2001: 44.8°F2002: 43.4°F2003: 40.6°F2004: 40.3°F2005: 43.6°F2006: 44.1°F2007: 42.3°F2008: 42.9°F2009: 42.1°F2010: 46.4°F2011: 38.9°F2012: 48.4°F2013: 41.3°F2014: 42.1°F2015: 41.8°F2016: 43.0°F2017: 42.6°F2018: 41.8°F2019: 39.8°F2020: 43.8°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°January: +1.4°F+1.4JFebruary: +0.7°F+0.7FMarch: +0.7°F+0.7MApril: +0.7°F+0.7AMay: +0.7°F+0.7MJune: +1.0°F+1.0JJuly: +0.7°F+0.7JAugust: +1.3°F+1.3ASeptember: +2.2°F+2.2SOctober: +1.5°F+1.5ONovember: +0.9°F+0.9NDecember: +2.5°F+2.5D

December has warmed the most — about 2.5°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 26 years of daily observations at ST Jerome, a weather station, about 4 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →