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Has the climate in Welland changed?

Welland has warmed about 3.5°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.7°F per decade, measured from Welland's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Welland's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Canada — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+2.5°F
1970s
47.3°F
Recent
49.8°F
A steady upward drift

Welland's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

44°46°48°50°52°54°1971: 47.6°F1972: 46.2°F1973: 49.4°F1974: 47.1°F1975: 49.0°F1976: 45.9°F1977: 46.7°F1978: 45.3°F1979: 46.7°F1980: 45.9°F1981: 46.5°F1982: 47.1°F1983: 48.9°F1984: 48.1°F1985: 47.8°F1986: 48.0°F1987: 49.8°F1988: 48.2°F1989: 47.0°F1990: 49.4°F1991: 50.1°F1992: 47.2°F1993: 47.7°F1994: 47.4°F1995: 48.4°F1996: 47.5°F1997: 51.6°F1998: 51.6°F1999: 50.4°F2000: 48.0°F2001: 50.5°F2002: 50.0°F2003: 47.7°F2004: 48.4°F2005: 49.4°F2006: 50.7°F2007: 50.1°F2008: 48.3°F2009: 48.3°F2010: 50.0°F2011: 49.8°F2012: 52.7°F2013: 50.4°F2014: 47.2°F2015: 47.9°F2016: 53.8°F2017: 49.6°F2018: 51.5°F2019: 47.7°F2020: 49.4°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: +1.9°F+1.9JFebruary: +1.1°F+1.1FMarch: +0.7°F+0.7MApril: +1.6°F+1.6AMay: +1.8°F+1.8MJune: +1.7°F+1.7JJuly: +1.2°F+1.2JAugust: +1.2°F+1.2ASeptember: +1.9°F+1.9SOctober: +1.4°F+1.4ONovember: +0.9°F+0.9NDecember: +1.8°F+1.8D

January has warmed the most — about 1.9°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 29 years of daily observations at Port Colborne, a weather station, about 12 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →