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Has the climate in Palmira changed?

Palmira has warmed about 0.9°F between 1973 and 2024.

About 0.2°F per decade, measured from Palmira's official daily weather records, 1973–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Palmira's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Colombia.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
10 fewer nights
1970s
10 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+0.6°F
1970s
74.3°F
Recent
74.9°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
10 more days
1970s
25 / yr
Recent
35 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
57 fewer days
1970s
115 / yr
Recent
58 / yr
Drier on average

Palmira's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1973 to 2024.

71°73°75°77°1973: 74.5°F1974: 73.3°F1975: 72.8°F1976: 74.0°F1977: 74.5°F1978: 74.1°F1979: 74.3°F1980: 74.6°F1981: 74.1°F1982: 74.1°F1983: 75.1°F1984: 73.0°F1985: 74.1°F1986: 74.7°F1987: 76.1°F1988: 74.8°F1989: 74.5°F1990: 75.4°F1991: 75.3°F1992: 74.8°F1993: 74.3°F1994: 74.7°F1995: 74.4°F1996: 73.6°F1997: 75.1°F1998: 75.3°F1999: 73.3°F2000: 73.3°F2001: 74.4°F2002: 74.9°F2003: 74.6°F2004: 74.6°F2005: 74.6°F2006: 74.4°F2007: 74.2°F2008: 73.5°F2009: 75.3°F2010: 74.6°F2011: 74.1°F2012: 74.7°F2014: 75.3°F2015: 76.0°F2016: 75.5°F2017: 74.5°F2018: 74.7°F2019: 75.5°F2020: 75.4°F2021: 74.0°F2022: 73.6°F2023: 75.3°F2024: 76.1°Flong-term trend1973198019902000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 6 fewer freezing nights a year and about 12 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-13.0°-12.5°-12.0°-11.5°-11.0°-10.5°-10.0°-9.5°-9.0°-8.5°-8.0°-7.5°-7.0°-6.5°-6.0°-5.5°-5.0°-4.5°-4.0°-3.5°-3.0°-2.5°-2.0°-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: +1.2°F+1.2JFebruary: -11.6°F-11.6FMarch: -11.7°F-11.7MApril: -11.6°F-11.6AMay: +1.4°F+1.4MJune: +1.2°F+1.2JJuly: -7.3°F-7.3JAugust: -0.1°F-0.1ASeptember: -12.3°F-12.3SOctober: -10.6°F-10.6ONovember: -12.7°F-12.7NDecember: +1.3°F+1.3D

November has cooled the most — about 12.7°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →