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Has the climate in Rapla changed?

Rapla has warmed about 9.7°F since 1971.

About 3.3°F per decade, measured from Rapla's official daily weather records, 1971–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Rapla's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Estonia.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
145 more nights
1970s
7 / yr
Recent
152 / yr
Colder winters — more frosts
Average temperature
+10.2°F
1970s
34.4°F
Recent
44.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
1 more day
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
1 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
150 fewer days
1970s
180 / yr
Recent
30 / yr
Drier on average

Rapla's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2025.

11°13°15°17°19°21°23°25°27°29°31°33°35°37°39°41°43°45°47°1971: 32.6°F1973: 36.7°F1974: 40.2°F1977: 27.1°F1978: 4.5°F2002: 42.8°F2003: 41.7°F2004: 42.0°F2005: 42.0°F2006: 43.3°F2007: 43.8°F2008: 44.4°F2009: 41.8°F2010: 40.3°F2011: 44.1°F2012: 40.6°F2013: 43.3°F2014: 43.5°F2015: 44.5°F2016: 43.0°F2017: 42.7°F2018: 44.2°F2019: 44.7°F2020: 46.2°F2021: 43.7°F2022: 44.0°F2023: 43.9°F2024: 45.9°F2025: 46.3°Flong-term trend1971201020202025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 126 more freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°+4.0°January: +0.5°F+0.5JFebruary: +2.1°F+2.1FMarch: +1.7°F+1.7MApril: +2.1°F+2.1AMay: +1.3°F+1.3MJune: -0.3°F-0.3JJuly: +1.7°F+1.7JAugust: +1.6°F+1.6ASeptember: +2.5°F+2.5SOctober: +0.7°F+0.7ONovember: +2.2°F+2.2NDecember: +3.7°F+3.7D

December has warmed the most — about 3.7°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 15 years of daily observations at Kuusiku, a weather station, about 6 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →