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Has the climate in Abashiri changed?

Abashiri has warmed about 2.7°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Abashiri's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Abashiri's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Japan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
77 fewer nights
1970s
157 / yr
Recent
80 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.2°F
1970s
42.7°F
Recent
45.0°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
1 more day
1970s
1 / yr
Recent
2 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
7 more days
1970s
140 / yr
Recent
147 / yr
Wetter on average

Abashiri's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

40°42°44°46°48°1971: 42.8°F1972: 44.7°F1973: 43.3°F1974: 42.0°F1975: 42.8°F1976: 43.0°F1977: 42.1°F1978: 43.3°F1979: 43.1°F1980: 42.2°F1981: 41.9°F1982: 43.7°F1983: 42.0°F1984: 42.7°F1985: 42.7°F1986: 41.6°F1987: 43.2°F1988: 42.5°F1989: 45.0°F1990: 46.3°F1991: 45.1°F1992: 43.4°F1993: 42.8°F1994: 44.8°F1995: 44.7°F1996: 42.5°F1997: 44.1°F1998: 43.7°F1999: 45.1°F2000: 43.6°F2001: 42.5°F2002: 44.1°F2003: 43.6°F2004: 46.0°F2006: 44.8°F2007: 44.5°F2008: 44.5°F2009: 44.8°F2010: 45.9°F2011: 44.9°F2012: 44.2°F2013: 44.7°F2014: 44.6°F2015: 45.8°F2016: 44.2°F2017: 44.4°F2018: 45.0°F2019: 45.5°F2020: 45.5°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 48 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from the Japan Meteorological Agency, measured at Abashiri, inside the city.

How we build these numbers →