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Has the climate in Hakodate changed?

Hakodate has warmed about 2.8°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Hakodate's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Hakodate's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Japan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
71 fewer nights
1970s
140 / yr
Recent
69 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.2°F
1970s
47.4°F
Recent
49.5°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
1 more day
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
1 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
8 more days
1970s
160 / yr
Recent
168 / yr
Wetter on average

Hakodate's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

45°47°49°51°1971: 47.2°F1972: 48.6°F1973: 47.9°F1974: 46.1°F1975: 48.0°F1976: 46.6°F1977: 47.0°F1978: 48.0°F1979: 48.2°F1980: 46.9°F1981: 46.7°F1982: 48.4°F1983: 47.4°F1984: 46.4°F1985: 47.6°F1986: 46.7°F1987: 47.6°F1988: 46.8°F1989: 49.6°F1990: 50.9°F1991: 49.4°F1992: 48.4°F1993: 47.5°F1994: 49.2°F1995: 48.8°F1996: 47.0°F1997: 48.8°F1998: 48.7°F1999: 49.6°F2000: 49.1°F2001: 47.5°F2002: 48.9°F2003: 48.5°F2004: 50.2°F2006: 48.7°F2007: 49.6°F2008: 49.2°F2009: 49.2°F2010: 50.0°F2011: 48.9°F2012: 49.0°F2013: 49.1°F2014: 49.0°F2015: 50.6°F2016: 49.5°F2017: 49.1°F2018: 49.7°F2019: 50.1°F2020: 50.3°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 44 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from the Japan Meteorological Agency, measured at Hakodate, about 5 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →