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Has the climate in Hakone changed?

Hakone has warmed about 2.4°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Hakone's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Hakone's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Japan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
61 fewer nights
1970s
133 / yr
Recent
72 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.7°F
1970s
50.4°F
Recent
52.2°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
6 more days
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
6 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
13 fewer days
1970s
119 / yr
Recent
106 / yr
Drier on average

Hakone's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

47°49°51°53°55°1971: 50.5°F1972: 51.0°F1973: 50.3°F1974: 49.9°F1975: 50.0°F1976: 49.3°F1977: 51.0°F1978: 51.1°F1979: 52.2°F1980: 50.3°F1981: 49.9°F1982: 50.8°F1983: 50.7°F1984: 49.3°F1985: 50.9°F1986: 49.5°F1987: 51.9°F1988: 50.0°F1989: 51.5°F1992: 50.7°F1993: 50.5°F1994: 52.0°F1995: 50.6°F1996: 50.2°F1997: 51.8°F1998: 52.7°F1999: 52.2°F2000: 52.1°F2001: 48.7°F2002: 51.8°F2003: 51.3°F2004: 52.6°F2005: 51.0°F2006: 51.6°F2007: 52.1°F2008: 51.1°F2009: 52.2°F2010: 52.5°F2011: 51.7°F2012: 51.1°F2013: 52.4°F2014: 51.4°F2015: 52.8°F2016: 53.2°F2017: 51.5°F2018: 53.3°F2019: 53.1°F2020: 53.6°Flong-term trend19711980200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 38 fewer freezing nights a year and about 4 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from the Japan Meteorological Agency, measured at Gotemba, about 16 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →