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Has the climate in Niseko changed?

Niseko has warmed about 1.4°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.3°F per decade, measured from Niseko's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Niseko's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Japan.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
60 fewer nights
1970s
132 / yr
Recent
72 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.2°F
1970s
46.9°F
Recent
48.1°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
about the same
1970s
2 / yr
Recent
2 / yr
About the same number of heat days
Rainy days
3 fewer days
1970s
182 / yr
Recent
179 / yr
Drier on average

Niseko's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

42°44°46°48°50°52°1971: 46.7°F1972: 48.3°F1973: 48.1°F1974: 46.9°F1975: 47.3°F1976: 46.3°F1977: 46.6°F1978: 47.3°F1979: 47.2°F1980: 46.4°F1981: 46.4°F1982: 47.7°F1983: 46.6°F1984: 46.1°F1985: 46.8°F1986: 46.2°F1987: 46.9°F1988: 46.9°F1989: 49.2°F1992: 50.4°F1993: 47.2°F1994: 48.5°F1995: 48.3°F1996: 46.3°F1997: 47.7°F1998: 47.4°F1999: 48.2°F2000: 47.4°F2001: 43.3°F2002: 47.6°F2003: 47.2°F2004: 48.1°F2005: 47.3°F2006: 47.6°F2007: 48.0°F2008: 48.1°F2009: 47.9°F2010: 48.4°F2011: 47.5°F2012: 47.7°F2013: 48.0°F2014: 47.9°F2015: 49.2°F2016: 47.9°F2017: 47.6°F2018: 48.1°F2019: 48.7°F2020: 49.9°Flong-term trend19711980200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 35 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from the Japan Meteorological Agency, measured at Kyowa, about 20 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →