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Has the climate in Saga changed?

Saga has warmed about 1.7°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Saga's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Saga's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Japan.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
18 fewer nights
1970s
32 / yr
Recent
14 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.3°F
1970s
61.6°F
Recent
62.9°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
13 more days
1970s
35 / yr
Recent
48 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
118 / yr
Recent
119 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Saga's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

58°60°62°64°66°1971: 61.4°F1972: 61.6°F1973: 61.6°F1974: 60.7°F1975: 62.1°F1976: 60.4°F1977: 61.9°F1978: 62.8°F1979: 62.5°F1980: 60.7°F1981: 60.8°F1982: 61.7°F1983: 62.1°F1984: 61.3°F1985: 62.0°F1986: 61.1°F1987: 62.1°F1988: 61.5°F1989: 62.9°F1992: 65.1°F1993: 60.9°F1994: 63.1°F1995: 60.8°F1996: 61.0°F1997: 62.0°F1998: 64.0°F1999: 62.1°F2000: 62.0°F2001: 59.6°F2002: 62.4°F2003: 62.3°F2004: 62.7°F2006: 62.6°F2007: 63.4°F2008: 62.2°F2009: 62.5°F2010: 62.6°F2011: 61.9°F2012: 61.7°F2013: 62.9°F2014: 62.1°F2015: 62.9°F2016: 64.3°F2017: 62.6°F2018: 63.4°F2019: 63.9°F2020: 64.1°Flong-term trend19711980200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 8 fewer freezing nights a year and about 9 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from the Japan Meteorological Agency, measured at Saga, about 4 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →