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Has the climate in Tokushima changed?

Tokushima has warmed about 2.3°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Tokushima's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Tokushima's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Japan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
17 fewer nights
1970s
22 / yr
Recent
5 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.8°F
1970s
60.8°F
Recent
62.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
9 more days
1970s
21 / yr
Recent
30 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
111 / yr
Recent
109 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Tokushima's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

58°60°62°64°1971: 60.8°F1972: 61.1°F1973: 60.8°F1974: 60.3°F1975: 61.2°F1976: 59.8°F1977: 61.2°F1978: 61.5°F1979: 62.1°F1980: 60.0°F1981: 60.2°F1982: 60.7°F1983: 61.4°F1984: 60.2°F1985: 61.5°F1986: 60.7°F1987: 62.0°F1988: 60.7°F1989: 62.0°F1990: 63.1°F1991: 62.3°F1992: 61.7°F1993: 61.2°F1994: 63.3°F1995: 61.4°F1996: 61.1°F1997: 62.0°F1998: 64.0°F1999: 62.7°F2000: 62.1°F2001: 59.3°F2002: 62.5°F2003: 61.8°F2004: 63.0°F2006: 62.1°F2007: 63.3°F2008: 62.3°F2009: 62.5°F2010: 62.6°F2011: 62.1°F2012: 61.6°F2013: 62.4°F2014: 61.5°F2015: 62.6°F2016: 63.7°F2017: 62.0°F2018: 62.9°F2019: 63.4°F2020: 63.5°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 9 fewer freezing nights a year and about 6 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from the Japan Meteorological Agency, measured at Tokushima, inside the city.

How we build these numbers →