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Has the climate in Ueno-ebisumachi changed?

Ueno-ebisumachi has warmed about 2.6°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Ueno-ebisumachi's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Ueno-ebisumachi's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Japan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
56 fewer nights
1970s
97 / yr
Recent
41 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.9°F
1970s
56.9°F
Recent
58.8°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
17 more days
1970s
24 / yr
Recent
41 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
14 fewer days
1970s
124 / yr
Recent
110 / yr
Drier on average

Ueno-ebisumachi's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

54°56°58°60°62°1971: 56.5°F1972: 57.2°F1973: 57.0°F1974: 56.3°F1975: 57.1°F1976: 56.0°F1977: 57.4°F1978: 57.7°F1979: 58.2°F1980: 56.3°F1981: 55.8°F1982: 56.8°F1983: 57.4°F1984: 56.2°F1985: 57.7°F1986: 56.5°F1987: 58.4°F1988: 56.8°F1989: 58.2°F1992: 57.5°F1993: 56.6°F1994: 59.1°F1995: 57.0°F1996: 56.9°F1997: 57.6°F1998: 59.7°F1999: 58.5°F2000: 58.2°F2001: 55.4°F2002: 58.5°F2003: 57.7°F2004: 58.9°F2005: 58.0°F2006: 58.1°F2007: 58.8°F2008: 58.3°F2009: 58.6°F2010: 59.0°F2011: 58.3°F2012: 57.9°F2013: 58.7°F2014: 58.2°F2015: 59.2°F2016: 60.0°F2017: 58.0°F2018: 59.5°F2019: 59.6°F2020: 60.3°Flong-term trend19711980200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 32 fewer freezing nights a year and about 12 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from the Japan Meteorological Agency, measured at Ueno, about 1 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →