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Has the climate in Kilifi changed?

Kilifi has warmed about 2.3°F between 1973 and 2024.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Kilifi's official daily weather records, 1973–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Kilifi's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Kenya — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+1.6°F
1970s
78.6°F
Recent
80.2°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
1 fewer day
1970s
54 / yr
Recent
53 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
28 fewer days
1970s
112 / yr
Recent
84 / yr
Drier on average

Kilifi's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1973 to 2024.

76°78°80°82°1973: 78.2°F1974: 78.1°F1975: 78.5°F1976: 78.9°F1977: 78.9°F1978: 78.4°F1979: 78.6°F1980: 78.6°F1981: 78.5°F1982: 78.6°F1983: 78.9°F1984: 78.2°F1985: 78.3°F1986: 78.5°F1987: 79.5°F1988: 79.4°F1989: 78.2°F1990: 78.9°F1991: 79.0°F1992: 78.2°F1993: 77.8°F1994: 78.7°F1995: 78.8°F1996: 78.5°F1997: 78.3°F1999: 79.0°F2000: 78.9°F2001: 79.0°F2002: 79.2°F2003: 79.4°F2004: 79.7°F2005: 79.4°F2007: 79.6°F2008: 79.6°F2009: 80.4°F2010: 80.3°F2011: 80.3°F2012: 80.1°F2013: 79.8°F2014: 79.9°F2015: 80.2°F2016: 80.2°F2017: 80.3°F2018: 79.3°F2019: 80.6°F2020: 80.4°F2021: 80.4°F2022: 79.9°F2023: 80.2°F2024: 81.2°Flong-term trend1973198019902000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 6 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: +0.5°F+0.5JFebruary: +0.4°F+0.4FMarch: +0.3°F+0.3MApril: +0.8°F+0.8AMay: +0.7°F+0.7MJune: +0.6°F+0.6JJuly: +0.5°F+0.5JAugust: +0.5°F+0.5ASeptember: +0.6°F+0.6SOctober: +0.5°F+0.5ONovember: +0.3°F+0.3NDecember: +0.6°F+0.6D

April has warmed the most — about 0.8°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 19 years of daily observations at Mombasa, a weather station, about 52 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →