Baikonur has warmed about 4.4°F between 1971 and 2024.
About 0.8°F per decade, measured from Baikonur's official daily weather records, 1971–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.
Is that a lot? Baikonur's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Kazakhstan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.
What has actually changed
Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the
record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span
the headline and the chart use.
Freezing nights
50 fewer nights
1970s
88 / yr
→
Recent
38 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.7°F
1970s
50.0°F
→
Recent
52.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
25 more days
1970s
58 / yr
→
Recent
83 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
61 fewer days
1970s
61 / yr
→
Recent
0 / yr
Drier on average
Baikonur's temperature, year by year
Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2024.
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year
Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones.
Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope,
not a straight climb.
In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 25 fewer freezing nights a year and about 13 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.
When in the year the change shows up
How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s.
Useful if you garden or care about a particular season —
otherwise the headline above already has the answer.
March has warmed the most — about 5.1°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.
Methodology & sources
Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.